Some good news (from a person I know at PPP polling)

[dsc]

PPP polling has been very accurate over time and have been very good at finding trends that are not apparent. My friend posted on facebook the following. His name is Tom Jensen.

Last night Democrats won a State Senate special election in Iowa in a district that voted for Trump by 21 points in November, something that’s become just about impossible to do in this era of polarized politics.
And PPP did polls in three Congressional districts yesterday that voted for Trump by 4-8 points in November and he had a negative approval rating in all of them.

This is good news and hopefully will continue.

I know how bad it feels right now but there is some light at the end of the tunnel.

[Leghorn21]

1. Thank you for a much-needed piece of good news, dsc!!

[Midnight Writer]

2. I wonder how this jibes with the infamous Iowa poll showing Kamala beating Trump handily in Iowa?

It seems the official election result of November 5, 2024, is the outlier here.

[House of Roberts]

3. A Republican politician can have a negative approval rating,

and still get more votes than a Dem opponent. No matter how bad the R is, individually, he can win reelection because the voters won't vote for a Dem in those places. Remember how much these districts have been engineered (gerrymandered) to guarantee the R wins.

[Maeve]

4. Keep hope alive!

Don't give in to the fear

[newdeal2]

5. He is overreaching

He doesn't have a mandate for this stuff and he knows it, but this is his best shot at consolidating power.

[bronxiteforever]

6. Wow! I cannot tell you how much

I appreciate this post!

[Self Esteem]

7. Democrats haven't had a problem in these elections.

They're not really helpful in telling us anything beyond the fact that Democrats have performed well in special elections with low turnout. But this was also used as a reason to prove Trump would lose and he didn't.

Democrats have built a coalition that turns out in these elections, which is hopeful for 2026 but not sure what it means in regards to Trump overall. He's an unusual case.

[Wiz Imp]

8. Somebody needs to poll the Congressional Districts with special elections scheduled to replace Trump

appointees. The elections in the 2 Florida districts are on April 1. The primary for those elections was held yesterday so the matchups are set. Both districts are overwhelmingly Republican so there is almost no chance of Democrats winning, but it would be good to see some polling to indicate if there might be an unexpected chance. Winning these special elections (as super unlikely as that is to happen) could give the Democrats control of the House.

[dsc]

10. I am sure there will be polling

but those districts are awful for us.

[LisaM]

9. American voters are weirdly fickle.

Look at Michigan, Engler to Granholm to Snyder to Whitmer. Clinton to Bush to Obama to Trump. It's very strange. They seem to have a will to undo real progress. How else to explain how we vote to get an infrastructure bill (jobs, much needed repairs, safety) then turn around and vote in someone who halts the work mid-construction?

It doesn't make sense. We aren't totally alone. The UK and Canada seem to veer between Labor and Conservative.

[aggiesal]

11. What color is that light? Because right now it looks red, like we're chasing. n/t

[Dem4life1970]

12. I saw this on Meidas Touch & BTC

[WarGamer]

13. It's obvious that Trump drives turnout like no one else.

And since he's never going to be on a ballot again... I hope this continues.

[Smackdown2019]

14. Lame duck

Lame duck doesn't give a shit about anyone but themselves.

He will destroy our nation and hoovervilles will be replaced by trumpvilles.