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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThis isn't good. FORMER Fox News host Steve Hilton is now in the lead.....
FORMER Fox News host Steve Hilton declared change is coming as he moved one step closer to replacing Gavin Newsom as California governor, with early results on Wednesday putting him ahead in the crowded race.
Hilton, who is running as a Republican, played a vital role in former British Prime Minister David Camerons rise to power across the pond, as he now seeks to lead California following Governor Gavin Newsoms departure.
Early results as of noon Pacific Time showed Hilton at 27.8%, followed by Democrat Xavier Becerra at 25.4% and billionaire Tom Steyer at 19.6%.
Hilton had 1,386,966 votes, while Becerra had 1,267,070, according to the California Secretary of States latest unofficial tally.
But the race is far from over, with all 19,788 precincts only partially reporting early Wednesday.
Early results showed Hilton narrowly ahead with nearly 1.4 million votes, followed by Becerra with nearly 1.3 million and Steyer with under 1 million.
https://www.the-sun.com/news/16445440/steve-hilton-california-governor-xavier-becerra/
blm
(114,792 posts)a kennedy
(36,512 posts)JMHO.
Dem votes are 45%+ and guardians of pedophiles are 25%
Bluetus
(3,170 posts)It is a "Jungle primary" that appears to be heading for a general election with Hilton facing one Dem (either Becerra or Steyer). All the gnashing of teeth was about the possibility that the Dem vote would be so divided that the top 2 finishers would both be Republicans. That ain't happening, and Hilton can't win the November race with 28%
Regardless of which Dem finishes in 2nd place, if even half the voters for the 3rd place finisher go to the Dem running in November, Dems will trounce Hilton.
The Sun is a Murdoch rag. That headline is ignorant.
struggle4progress
(126,840 posts)leftieNanner
(16,179 posts)This is the jungle primary. Top two will run against each other in the general election in November. Hilton may be number one now, but doubt he will win over all. I think there were something like 60 candidates.
a kennedy
(36,512 posts)Bettie
(19,939 posts)Democrats, so the "blue" vote is split a lot of ways.
Frasier Balzov
(5,126 posts)About Newsom's viability as a presidential candidate.
mr715
(4,430 posts)I don't see a connection.
Frasier Balzov
(5,126 posts)Because of the questionable popularity of the Democratic incumbent.
This is what Newsom is leaving behind in his wake.
In California.
Where Newsom's presumed popularity should put Becerra ahead by a comfortable margin.
mr715
(4,430 posts)I don't think it says very much about anything yet.
If, in the general, Becerra (or Steyer) get less than 55%, I'd completely agree with you.
spooky3
(38,923 posts)Renew Deal
(85,429 posts)What is the combined vote of all the Democrats?
LisaL
(47,654 posts)It's simple math. Democrats, combined, are easily beating republicans combined.
Lifeafter70
(1,219 posts)The republican party tried to recall him spending tons of cash......it failed miserably.
senseandsensibility
(25,726 posts)Add Steyer and all the other Dems' percentages to see what Becerra can get in the general. He will trounce Hilton. There is no way Hilton will get over forty percent.
a kennedy
(36,512 posts)chia
(2,842 posts)Becerra and Steyer together have as of right now 2,400,000 votes, Hilton and Bianco together 1,970,000.
Steyer's made up some ground today, this could get interesting.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-primary-elections/california-governor-results
karynnj
(61,158 posts)should also be added.
Sympthsical
(11,180 posts)But, eh, I'm not sure how likely it is. He'd have to outperform Hilton in the remaining vote by about 11% to overtake him (I did some napkin math with the remaining 4 million votes).
So, again, not impossible. But there would have to be a giant chunk of overwhelmingly Democratic votes who also waited and voted for Steyer in the end. And while I and many others I know did exactly that, what we political junkies do and what your run of the mill voter do are frequently unaligned.
The average voter is really rather tedious and predictable.
But we'll see.
haele
(15,651 posts)Half of California votes by mail, and there's been a couple incidents of ballot box drop vandalism where they're asking people to check in if they think their ballot had been destroyed during the vandalism.
NoveltySocks
(416 posts)Voted for Steyer this round as a strategy to try and keep the GOP out of the general. Most of us would have voted for Becerra otherwise. I don't think this is uncommon. I genuinely don't see Hilton winning the general election, though I'd obviously prefer it if we'd managed to eliminate him from contention altogether.
a kennedy
(36,512 posts)Sympthsical
(11,180 posts)If you add up all the Democratic votes and all the Republican votes in the primary, you see more or less that 60/40 split.
Come November, you'll see the same in the general. There will be some variation, but 60/40 is going to be the baseline expectation of results.
Mix in we are still relatively early in voting returns. It takes the state forever to count, and due to the chaotic nature of this year's jungle primary, a lot of Democrats held their ballots until later in the cycle.
I expect Hilton's final percentage to be lower than where he currently is.
a kennedy
(36,512 posts)LisaL
(47,654 posts)Add all votes for democrats, and compare that to the republican total.
Jeez.
a kennedy
(36,512 posts)LetMyPeopleVote
(182,882 posts)Any Democrat who makes it through the California Jungle Primary will beat the only repug who is the November race.
a kennedy
(36,512 posts)LisaL
(47,654 posts)Democrats are splitting the vote because it's a jungle primary. If you add the total for democrats versus republicans, democrats are easily beating republicans.
a kennedy
(36,512 posts)MerryBlooms
(12,437 posts)Dems are solid leaders. Hilton isn't yet pulling trump's magat base number. We're in the good, so far!
FHRRK1
(168 posts)Add the Dem votes, add the R votes, compare.
I voted yesterday afternoon, held out as long as possible.
Why? Once one Dem was safely polling in the top 2, I went with the Dem polling 2nd. Imagine how many mail in voters did the same.
I purposely did not use candidates names, because it doesnt matter. If Steyer makes the final two I will need to make a decision. If he doesnt then decision made, I vote for Becerra.
Edit to add, I cant see the logic of any Dem voter casting a ballot for Porter or Mahan, or anyone without a chance. What if we run into an issue with a single candidate but that person is the only Dem in the race? I mean it happened only two friggen months ago.
Also, if Repukes arent on the ballot for any of the top spots, it seems logical that R turnout would be negatively impacted, thus potential to pick up a close House seat or two.
kimbutgar
(27,619 posts)I dont trust the USPS with my ballot under the current head of the USPS.
RockRaven
(19,823 posts)I do not think a lot of Steyer or Porter voters will be going for Hilton, any more than Bianco voters will be going for Becerra...
LisaL
(47,654 posts)I don't see anything to be concerned about.
lostincalifornia
(5,612 posts)60 fricking can dates in the Governors race. And candidates like Matt Mahan had no business entering the race at such a late time, but the high tech billionaires gave him free money to run with.
It will. Be Hilton and Becerra in November, and steyers voters will vote for Becerra in the general