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a kennedy

(36,512 posts)
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 06:57 PM 2 hrs ago

This isn't good. FORMER Fox News host Steve Hilton is now in the lead.....

FORMER Fox News host Steve Hilton declared “change is coming” as he moved one step closer to replacing Gavin Newsom as California governor, with early results on Wednesday putting him ahead in the crowded race.

Hilton, who is running as a Republican, played a vital role in former British Prime Minister David Cameron’s rise to power across the pond, as he now seeks to lead California following Governor Gavin Newsom‘s departure.

Early results as of noon Pacific Time showed Hilton at 27.8%, followed by Democrat Xavier Becerra at 25.4% and billionaire Tom Steyer at 19.6%.

Hilton had 1,386,966 votes, while Becerra had 1,267,070, according to the California Secretary of State’s latest unofficial tally.

But the race is far from over, with all 19,788 precincts only partially reporting early Wednesday.

Early results showed Hilton narrowly ahead with nearly 1.4 million votes, followed by Becerra with nearly 1.3 million and Steyer with under 1 million.

https://www.the-sun.com/news/16445440/steve-hilton-california-governor-xavier-becerra/

38 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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This isn't good. FORMER Fox News host Steve Hilton is now in the lead..... (Original Post) a kennedy 2 hrs ago OP
Why isn't it good? Math is as expected and favors Dem nominee in Nov. blm 2 hrs ago #1
Just wish it would have been someone else...... a kennedy 2 hrs ago #6
Truly UpInArms 2 hrs ago #8
Exactly. It looks like the perfect scenario for Dems Bluetus 28 min ago #31
"We can do to California what Trump did to the White House!" struggle4progress 2 hrs ago #2
Seriously?? leftieNanner 2 hrs ago #3
Hope so.....and yah, there were at least 60. a kennedy 2 hrs ago #9
And the majority of them were Bettie 52 min ago #16
It says something about Newsom's viability. Frasier Balzov 2 hrs ago #4
Please explain. mr715 49 min ago #18
Why is a Republican leading in an at-large primary? Frasier Balzov 41 min ago #25
It is a jungle primary, and the democratic vote is split 8 ways mr715 35 min ago #27
That's quite an inferential leap. Nt spooky3 35 min ago #28
that's not how math works Renew Deal 33 min ago #29
No, republican is leading because democrats split the vote. LisaL 27 min ago #32
You know how popular my governor is? Lifeafter70 11 min ago #38
This is good news. senseandsensibility 2 hrs ago #5
So hope you're right. a kennedy 2 hrs ago #10
Only 55% of the votes have been counted. Later votes will skew Democratic. chia 2 hrs ago #7
Not to mention Porter, Mahan and other Democats karynnj 2 hrs ago #11
It wouldn't be impossible for Steyer to come back Sympthsical 42 min ago #24
I won't start paying attention until Friday. haele 2 hrs ago #12
FWIW, myself and a good chunk of people I know NoveltySocks 1 hr ago #13
Yes.....don't want him to even think he'd have a chance. a kennedy 27 min ago #33
California is generally a 60/40 Dem/Rep state Sympthsical 59 min ago #14
*fingers crossed* a kennedy 49 min ago #19
Seriously? LisaL 56 min ago #15
Yup, you're right, silly me, reading clickbait headlines eh?? a kennedy 47 min ago #22
Hilton being in the lead is meaningless LetMyPeopleVote 52 min ago #17
Damn right..... a kennedy 48 min ago #20
Exactly. LisaL 47 min ago #21
*thumbs up* a kennedy 45 min ago #23
I aee it a little differently MerryBlooms 40 min ago #26
Said numerous times, but I will say it again FHRRK1 29 min ago #30
For the first time in a long time I did not mail in my ballot but walked it to the voting center to be counted later kimbutgar 25 min ago #34
It is completely unconcerning. The 6 main Dems got 56%, the 2 main Repugs got 39%. RockRaven 21 min ago #35
Exactly. LisaL 20 min ago #36
Ignore the bullshit MSM. Our jungle primary distorts reality. There were over lostincalifornia 13 min ago #37

Bluetus

(3,170 posts)
31. Exactly. It looks like the perfect scenario for Dems
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 09:13 PM
28 min ago

It is a "Jungle primary" that appears to be heading for a general election with Hilton facing one Dem (either Becerra or Steyer). All the gnashing of teeth was about the possibility that the Dem vote would be so divided that the top 2 finishers would both be Republicans. That ain't happening, and Hilton can't win the November race with 28%

Regardless of which Dem finishes in 2nd place, if even half the voters for the 3rd place finisher go to the Dem running in November, Dems will trounce Hilton.

The Sun is a Murdoch rag. That headline is ignorant.

leftieNanner

(16,179 posts)
3. Seriously??
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 07:03 PM
2 hrs ago

This is the jungle primary. Top two will run against each other in the general election in November. Hilton may be number one now, but doubt he will win over all. I think there were something like 60 candidates.

Frasier Balzov

(5,126 posts)
4. It says something about Newsom's viability.
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 07:10 PM
2 hrs ago

About Newsom's viability as a presidential candidate.

Frasier Balzov

(5,126 posts)
25. Why is a Republican leading in an at-large primary?
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 09:00 PM
41 min ago

Because of the questionable popularity of the Democratic incumbent.

This is what Newsom is leaving behind in his wake.

In California.

Where Newsom's presumed popularity should put Becerra ahead by a comfortable margin.


mr715

(4,430 posts)
27. It is a jungle primary, and the democratic vote is split 8 ways
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 09:06 PM
35 min ago

I don't think it says very much about anything yet.

If, in the general, Becerra (or Steyer) get less than 55%, I'd completely agree with you.

LisaL

(47,654 posts)
32. No, republican is leading because democrats split the vote.
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 09:13 PM
27 min ago

It's simple math. Democrats, combined, are easily beating republicans combined.

Lifeafter70

(1,219 posts)
38. You know how popular my governor is?
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 09:29 PM
11 min ago

The republican party tried to recall him spending tons of cash......it failed miserably.

senseandsensibility

(25,726 posts)
5. This is good news.
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 07:12 PM
2 hrs ago

Add Steyer and all the other Dems' percentages to see what Becerra can get in the general. He will trounce Hilton. There is no way Hilton will get over forty percent.

chia

(2,842 posts)
7. Only 55% of the votes have been counted. Later votes will skew Democratic.
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 07:13 PM
2 hrs ago

Becerra and Steyer together have as of right now 2,400,000 votes, Hilton and Bianco together 1,970,000.

Steyer's made up some ground today, this could get interesting.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-primary-elections/california-governor-results

Sympthsical

(11,180 posts)
24. It wouldn't be impossible for Steyer to come back
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 08:59 PM
42 min ago

But, eh, I'm not sure how likely it is. He'd have to outperform Hilton in the remaining vote by about 11% to overtake him (I did some napkin math with the remaining 4 million votes).

So, again, not impossible. But there would have to be a giant chunk of overwhelmingly Democratic votes who also waited and voted for Steyer in the end. And while I and many others I know did exactly that, what we political junkies do and what your run of the mill voter do are frequently unaligned.

The average voter is really rather tedious and predictable.

But we'll see.

haele

(15,651 posts)
12. I won't start paying attention until Friday.
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 07:35 PM
2 hrs ago

Half of California votes by mail, and there's been a couple incidents of ballot box drop vandalism where they're asking people to check in if they think their ballot had been destroyed during the vandalism.

NoveltySocks

(416 posts)
13. FWIW, myself and a good chunk of people I know
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 08:39 PM
1 hr ago

Voted for Steyer this round as a strategy to try and keep the GOP out of the general. Most of us would have voted for Becerra otherwise. I don't think this is uncommon. I genuinely don't see Hilton winning the general election, though I'd obviously prefer it if we'd managed to eliminate him from contention altogether.

Sympthsical

(11,180 posts)
14. California is generally a 60/40 Dem/Rep state
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 08:42 PM
59 min ago

If you add up all the Democratic votes and all the Republican votes in the primary, you see more or less that 60/40 split.

Come November, you'll see the same in the general. There will be some variation, but 60/40 is going to be the baseline expectation of results.

Mix in we are still relatively early in voting returns. It takes the state forever to count, and due to the chaotic nature of this year's jungle primary, a lot of Democrats held their ballots until later in the cycle.

I expect Hilton's final percentage to be lower than where he currently is.

LisaL

(47,654 posts)
15. Seriously?
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 08:44 PM
56 min ago

Add all votes for democrats, and compare that to the republican total.
Jeez.

LetMyPeopleVote

(182,882 posts)
17. Hilton being in the lead is meaningless
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 08:49 PM
52 min ago

Any Democrat who makes it through the California Jungle Primary will beat the only repug who is the November race.

LisaL

(47,654 posts)
21. Exactly.
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 08:54 PM
47 min ago

Democrats are splitting the vote because it's a jungle primary. If you add the total for democrats versus republicans, democrats are easily beating republicans.

MerryBlooms

(12,437 posts)
26. I aee it a little differently
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 09:01 PM
40 min ago

Dems are solid leaders. Hilton isn't yet pulling trump's magat base number. We're in the good, so far!

FHRRK1

(168 posts)
30. Said numerous times, but I will say it again
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 09:12 PM
29 min ago

Add the Dem votes, add the R votes, compare.

I voted yesterday afternoon, held out as long as possible.

Why? Once one Dem was safely polling in the top 2, I went with the Dem polling 2nd. Imagine how many mail in voters did the same.

I purposely did not use candidates names, because it doesn’t matter. If Steyer makes the final two I will need to make a decision. If he doesn’t then decision made, I vote for Becerra.

Edit to add, I can’t see the logic of any Dem voter casting a ballot for Porter or Mahan, or anyone without a chance. What if we run into an issue with a single candidate but that person is the only Dem in the race? I mean it happened only two friggen months ago.

Also, if Repukes aren’t on the ballot for any of the top spots, it seems logical that R turnout would be negatively impacted, thus potential to pick up a close House seat or two.

kimbutgar

(27,619 posts)
34. For the first time in a long time I did not mail in my ballot but walked it to the voting center to be counted later
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 09:16 PM
25 min ago

I don’t trust the USPS with my ballot under the current head of the USPS.

RockRaven

(19,823 posts)
35. It is completely unconcerning. The 6 main Dems got 56%, the 2 main Repugs got 39%.
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 09:19 PM
21 min ago

I do not think a lot of Steyer or Porter voters will be going for Hilton, any more than Bianco voters will be going for Becerra...

lostincalifornia

(5,612 posts)
37. Ignore the bullshit MSM. Our jungle primary distorts reality. There were over
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 09:28 PM
13 min ago

60 fricking can dates in the Governor’s race. And candidates like Matt Mahan had no business entering the race at such a late time, but the high tech billionaires gave him free money to run with.

It will. Be Hilton and Becerra in November, and steyers voters will vote for Becerra in the general

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