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Igel

(37,501 posts)
15. Your assertion might be right.
Sat Dec 27, 2025, 12:09 PM
Dec 27

But what you're saying is that if Ukr were partially trashing Russia's oil infrastructure and the sanctioned-ships blockade of Venezuela really happened there'd be a supply restriction.

Companies aren't going to take billion dollar hits just because they like Trump.

Gas prices yesterday at my favorite grocery store just north of Houston were $2.13.

But some details.

Russia exports crude oil. So far 3 tankers, as far as I know, have been tanked by Ukr. Two Venezuelan ones. Out of thousands of tankers. So that's far less than a 0.5% reduction in tanker-transported oil. That doesn't count all the oil transported by pipeline. Plus, that's crude oil.

Russia's refining industry's been hit hard. Those sites convert crude to gasoline. Russia exports a small amount of gasoline and that's off the market. But it's a very small percentage of gasoline refining capacity, all things considered. Meanwhile, OPEC's cranked production. And there's still threat of recession and with production up and capacity not hurting and demand flat, you get exactly what 12th-grade economics in Texas would suggest: reduced or flat prices.

Recommendations

1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Also there are a lot more crisis speculators now than back in the day. marble falls Dec 27 #1
Here's an interesting observation PJMcK Dec 27 #2
Gas taxes are also significantly higher in Europe. MichMan Dec 27 #5
Gas taxes are high in Pennsylvania. gab13by13 Dec 27 #8
Not even comparible MichMan Dec 27 #9
I'm not comparing taxes in the US gab13by13 Dec 27 #12
The post I specifically replied to said "In Europe, gasoline is significantly more expensive." MichMan Dec 27 #14
Monopolies multigraincracker Dec 27 #3
He is giving away our tax dollars to big oil in subsidies. Emile Dec 27 #4
Yes, that's what I am trying to say, thank you. gab13by13 Dec 27 #7
The price of oil and gas is complex Botany Dec 27 #6
At 69 years of age, last week was the very first time that I was dismayed at paying too little at the gas pump. Ferrets are Cool Dec 27 #10
People are missing the point I am trying to make, gab13by13 Dec 27 #13
Your assertion might be right. Igel Dec 27 #15
Yep. dalton99a Dec 27 #11
Not disagreeing, but more mathematical sentences for clarity would be nice. Tetrachloride Dec 27 #16
Here just north of Houston it's $2.13 at some places. Igel Dec 27 #17
2.79 in STL. 2.54 at SAM's in STL Pas-de-Calais Dec 27 #18
It's complicated..... paleotn Dec 27 #19
If that was the case, you would see a sharp decline in profits this year compared to previous years, but you don't MichMan Dec 27 #20
Agree, disagree. hay rick Dec 27 #21
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