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CentralMass

(16,984 posts)
19. An AI response to a related question.
Sun Mar 29, 2026, 05:10 PM
Mar 29

Current data from 2026 shows that AI is not replacing coders in large numbers, but it is restructuring the profession. While the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics still projects 17% growth in developer jobs through 2033, entry-level hiring has dropped by as much as 73% in the past year as AI automates routine junior-level tasks.
​Code Quality and Rework
​AI-generated code currently suffers from a "quality crisis" characterized by a significant verification tax.
​Issue Frequency: AI-generated pull requests contain 1.7 times more bugs and logic errors than human-written code.
​Security Risks: Vulnerabilities in AI code are 1.57 times more common, often due to missing "defensive" coding like null checks and error handling.
​Trust Gap: Approximately 96% of developers do not fully trust AI-generated code to be functionally correct without manual review.
​Rework: Only about 30% of AI-suggested code is accepted without modification. Senior developers often report a 19% slowdown because debugging AI output takes longer than writing it from scratch.
​Is it Improving?
​Yes, but the nature of the improvement is shifting.
​Efficiency: Developers are becoming 20-55% faster at shipping code, even if that code requires more initial fixing.
​Learning Curve: Studies show that after an initial "slowdown" period, developers who master AI prompting and validation eventually see an 18% speedup in overall task completion.
​Technical Debt: Despite improvements in speed, Gartner predicts a "technical debt reckoning" by 2027, as AI-generated code often lacks long-term architectural judgment and fails to "age well."

However, in my opinion, with a competent group of coders with the expertise and knowledge on the application I think that AI generated code will continue to improve, and continue to eliminate jobs. In the job that I left, or that left me, (I'm old) we had an AI layer that would check code submissions from various teams. It would check for errors and in many cases provide an automated fix to those errors. These fixes were pretty much always correct. All passing code submissions would be tested with a "bot" and all passing code would submitted for the release. The "bot" eliminated 20 teams from having to perform their own individual testing that included securing time and setup on the systems required to validate it. It is as good as the people who are programming the model for the application. If that team is this very good, it can be be very good. It can learn preferences of a particular programmer and improve with their input.

Recommendations

1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

What if they... 2naSalit Mar 28 #1
It's like the fuckin tulip mania of the 1630's struggle4progress Mar 28 #2
Bingo. multigraincracker Mar 29 #13
AI can only copy what has been done edhopper Mar 28 #3
The layoffs ARE about AI. These companies have all pissed away hundreds of millions of dollars Bluetus Mar 29 #6
Just to illustrate that point about curated LLMs Bluetus Mar 29 #16
Deep expose. cachukis Mar 29 #28
Very well explained. Thanks. cachukis Mar 29 #27
I think that if an individual has some knowledge or expertise and asks the right questions that it can lead CentralMass Mar 29 #9
The difference is edhopper Mar 29 #15
I understand your point, but i think that people who think that they are safe from it are being overly optomistic. CentralMass Mar 29 #18
I don't think anyone is safe edhopper Mar 29 #20
Are psychologists relatively safe? Dave says Mar 29 #25
+! struggle4progress Mar 29 #12
It's a lot more nuanced than that. tinrobot Mar 29 #17
Yes edhopper Mar 29 #21
Codex is beyond that. It has special tools built into it to automate coding that go beyond just being trained... FascismIsDeath Mar 29 #22
I get that edhopper Mar 29 #24
When circumstances are forcing you to lay off people... hunter Mar 28 #4
A year from now: they'll be hiring people back to debug AI slop code. JHB Mar 28 #5
I'm not sure about that. From what I can tell, it is getting better and better. With a knowledgeable programmer working CentralMass Mar 29 #10
It seems to be a bit soft, but I suspect it's more gristle and chewy. haele Mar 29 #7
As an immersed peruser of history, I like your study cachukis Mar 29 #29
Meanwhile, companies are hiring human programmers to fix all the shit AI does sakabatou Mar 29 #8
An AI response to a related question. CentralMass Mar 29 #19
Yeah, who's going to organize your fantastic new army of agentic AI? Gonna do it all yourself, Sam? 0rganism Mar 29 #11
The models are learning from him IbogaProject Mar 29 #14
I agree, that is a concern, one only partially addressed by exclusively running locally. 0rganism Mar 29 #31
I see your point. But the scenario id that the compamy employs a small team of very skilled coders abd ir engineers who CentralMass Mar 29 #23
It's definitely an awful situation, but there's an up-side too 0rganism Mar 29 #30
Five to one, baby, one in five... OC375 Mar 29 #26
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