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JohnSJ

(97,074 posts)
2. Bullshit. How do they know this one poll is any more accurate than their previous poll which showed Harris leading by 4
Mon Oct 14, 2024, 06:50 AM
Oct 2024

points but within their MOE?

It may say is nothing has changed, yet the pundits seem to frame negativity against Harris.

They also say the polls reflect less African American support than Biden had in 2020. Really?

The pollsters tell us they are making "adjustments" to account for more trump support than accounted for in 2016 and 2020.

and just how are they doing that?

2016 shouldn't even be included because of what Comey did 11 days before the general election, and as far as 2020 is concerned, I don't recall anyone predict a landslide victory for Biden. It was always close.

What I do recall was in 2022 most of the pollsters and pundits predicted a "red wave", which didn't materialize, and then they made all kinds of excuses how it was because "trump's endorsements were damaged goods".

Now for 2024 they are saying they want to make sure they are not "underrepresenting trump support", so they are adding "adjustments" to their polling.

So after 2016, 2020, 2022, they are now adding "adjustments to their polling".

The reality is, 2016, 2020, and 2022 in general were close elections, and probably 2024 will be the same.

Of course if their excuse in 2022 that the reason there was no "red wave" was because trump was damaged goods, I don't really see where that has changed, yet they seem to be contradicting that, and say that trump "isn't damaged goods"

I don't have to be a pollster to predict if we have a large turnout among Democrats, progressives, women, African Americans, and other minority groups we will win, both the popular vote and those critical swing states.

The biggest concern I have is the real effort of republicans trying to disenfranchise Democratic votes.

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