Local government, London Mayoral and Scottish Parliamentary elections on 6th May

[Emrys]

8. New IpsosMORIScot/STV poll out:

Link to tweet

Gerry Hassan
@GerryHassan

.@IpsosMORIScot & @STVNews poll puts SNP 33% & 17% ahead; Alba on 3% & Galloway on 0.5%.

CONSTITUENCY:
SNP 53%
CON 20%
LAB 18%
LD 6%
GRN 2%

LIST:
SNP 38%
CON 21%
LAB 18%
GRN 12%
LD 6%
ALBA 3%
A4U 0.5%

Sample: 29 March-4 April

Constituency vote:



A (necessarily tentative) seat projection from that:



Whatever its shortcomings, this seems more realistic about Galloway's A4U's (Alliance for Unity, a.k.a. AFU) prospects than a previous poll which put them on 4% (and which seriously put the wind up the Tories).