this is not a sure thing no matter how detestable Johnson is. Remember his last election. I agree with you about the Dems making many mistakes in WI over the years. An example would be that in the last 10 years and more I have seen little if any outreach by the party in the southeast corner of the state. I think it's unusual for a party not to contact a voter who has reliably voted year after year. I don't see door to door activity either. Mailers, e-mail begging and media ads. I don't care what all the high paid consultants you have got to do door to door along with other things. I've seen it easily sway local electors and the number one comment is "I'm voting for "Candidate X" because he actually cared enough to come and see me and I could ask him my questions". The large gatherings don't compare to establishing that personal contact. That voter will also influence friends/relatives/co-workers etc. I've seen with my own eyes when a total political novice would run against an entrenched alderman, representative etc. and almost exclusively (mostly out of financial reasons) do door to door every single evening and on Saturdays. They would have a minimum of campaign literature (again because of cost) and no name recognition. Their opponent would rely on his "trusted base", yard signs etc. thinking that he/she had been re-elected 4 times in a row and didn't need to wear out some shoe leather. Then comes the shocker on election night.