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Tree-Hugger

(3,379 posts)
4. Normal language for weather nerds
Thu Jan 4, 2024, 02:45 PM
Jan 2024

There is a system that should impact the east coast on the 7th. It'll involve the conglomeration of more than one system and then ride the coast. This has been modeled for a couple of weeks now. The reference to "anyone forecasting specifics as of now shouldn't be trusted," is slyling hinting at hype weather pages that tell you exactly how much you can expect yadda yadda far beyond the normal forecasting time. So, since this system came into view on models a few weeks ago, certain weather weenie pages post shit like, "super mega apocalypse storm to impact half the USA with up to 3 feet of snow," complete with overly colorful altered photos of weather maps. They'll predict how many inches weeks before a storm. Normal weather outlets don't like to make such predictions until just a few short days before a storm, with finalization of forecasts less than 24 hours prior. And then they focus on nowcasting - altering the forecast as the storm is happening based on the actual dynamics in play.

I hope that makes sense because I explained it badly. I am part of the weather community and SKYWARN certified, so I am posting and consuming this content on a daily basis. Hype weather pages have become a big problem in recent years and that is what the sentence about "forecasting specifics" is alluding to. I, and many others, use fairly similar language. People tend to share the hype stuff, which often ends up wrong. And then, as humans tend to do, people blame the actual legitimate weather sources and it becomes a big mess of misinformation and distrust.

I hope I helped. ☺️

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