Why I think Trump won the rust belt in spite of being the terrible person he is

[karynnj]

17. Your real clear politics link actually would substantiate what I said

In Wisconsin, note that Clinton got very close to her average polling number - which was under 50%. Note that the last poll ened on 11/2 - 6 days before the election. This completely misses any impact of the last Comey letter, that while again confirming that she should not be indicted was not a story to have 2 days before the election.

The exit polls showed that people who decided late, went to Trump. Here it also looked like a large portion of the Johnson support in polls shifted - obviously to Trump. In most elections, third party candidates lose support when people actually vote. This even as HRC did get around the percent that she polled.

The other thing to consider is that the Feingold campaign was BEGGING for help. Two things were always true of Feingold. He runs a very grassroots intensive campaign and likely was more aware of the forces out there than the Clinton team AND Feingold asking the DNC for money and help is something he never did in the past. That makes his doing it this year a sign of just how concerned he was.

If you want, you can see the same things in the MI and PA links on real clear politics. (A convenient aggregater of polls - even if it leans right.)